Fresh from claiming it will leapfrog the market and make 1GB DRAM the industry's de facto memory chip, Samsung has now predicted disk drives will soon be replaced in laptops with solid-state Flash drives.
The company recently made its first step towards this goal with the announcement of a prototype 16GB drive based on Flash chips. Flash memory has several advantages over hard-disk drive storage: it consumes less power, it has higher resistance to shock, it's more reliable because there are no moving parts, it can read and write data faster, and it's silent in operation. But there's a major hurdle to mass-market adoption: it's much more expensive.
Samsung is betting that price difference will erode if double-digit percentage price drops in the flash memory market continue and so the market for Flash-based storage will broaden, said Hwang Chang-Gyu, president and CEO of Samsung's semi-conductor business.
Hwang cited Flash memory price drops of around 40 percent in the last year as evidence that flash is quickly getting much cheaper. "This will be big once people enjoy how much faster and convenient it is to use solid-state disks rather than hard-disk drives," Hwang said. "We're starting with 16GB and expanding to 100GB in a couple of years."
Samsung hasn't announced the price of the 16GB drive yet, but the target markets for the product - military and industrial computing - are typically willing to pay a premium for technology. The drive is packaged in a case the same size as a 2.5-inch hard-disk drive so it can be used as a direct replacement. Samsung has also announced 8GB and 4GB versions that will be a similar size to 1.8-inch drives.
The company has good reason to be championing flash memory. It's the world's number one producer of Flash chips with revenue more than double that of second-ranked Intel. In contrast it ranks fifth in the hard-disk drive market.
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